{"id":100093,"date":"2023-01-04T17:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-01-04T17:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cn.cryptonews.com\/?p=100093"},"modified":"2023-06-26T11:26:42","modified_gmt":"2023-06-26T11:26:42","slug":"zao-qi-jia-mi-huo-bi-tou-zi-zhe-erik-voorhees-biao-shi-dang-zhe-zhong-qing-kuang-fa-sheng-shi-bi-te-bi-de-xia-yi-ci-niu-shi-jiang-hui-kai-shi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/zao-qi-jia-mi-huo-bi-tou-zi-zhe-erik-voorhees-biao-shi-dang-zhe-zhong-qing-kuang-fa-sheng-shi-bi-te-bi-de-xia-yi-ci-niu-shi-jiang-hui-kai-shi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u65e9\u671f\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u6295\u8d44\u8005 Erik Voorhees \u8868\u793a\u5f53\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u53d1\u751f\u65f6\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b21\u725b\u5e02\u5c06\u4f1a\u5f00\u59cb"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/figure>

下一个牛市可能会在今年到 2026 年之间的任何时候到来，加密货币资深人士 Erik Voorhees 表示，但那将需要宏观环境以及人们的思想发生一些变化才有可能。<\/strong><\/p>

Voorhees 是加密货币交易所 ShapeShift 的创办人兼首席执行长，他是 1 月 2 日发布的 Bankless 播客节目的嘉宾。<\/strong><\/p>

在回答关于我们何时才能看到另一场牛市和历史新高的问题时，Voorhees 开玩笑说不会是 10 年，并补充说他经常与他的 “crypto OG”朋友一起烧烤时聊到市场行情何时会转身 — 但他们总是错的。<\/strong><\/p>

不过，他表示，<\/strong><\/p>

“如果牛市需要 10 年才能发生，那么整件事情可能都已失败了。[…] 我猜它会在接下来 6 个月到 3 年内的某个时候发生。”<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>

Voorhees 建议，某些事情需要发生才能让牛市回归。 “人们的思想开始改变，以及投机周期的回归”也都需要一定的时间。<\/strong><\/p>

这位首席执行长表示，<\/strong><\/p>

“这也与宏观环境有很大的关系。因此，只要利率保持高位，货币环境收紧，就会成为不利因素。但是 […] 明年的年初到年中这段期间将会开始有所变化。所以，如果比特币在夏天之前达到 40K 左右，我一点也不会感到惊讶。那会比现在高出 2.5 倍，所以将会是一个很好的回报。”<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>

牢记牛市和熊市的教训<\/strong><\/h2><\/span>

Voorhees 有一些关于牛市和熊市的教训和警告要分享 — 在每个周期中每次都会看到某些共同点。<\/strong><\/p>

他说，这并不是加密货币所独有的，而是“当看涨情绪出现时，人们的怀疑和判断力就会降得太低”，他们愿意接受任何事情。那是一个“所有愚蠢想法都得到和好的想法一样多钱的时候，完全没有自由裁量权，每个人都在做赚钱的事情”。<\/strong><\/p>

因此，Voorhees 警告说，<\/strong><\/p>

“在牛市期间，记住要保持理智的意思就是 [问问] 自己这件事是否真的有用或者它只是愚蠢的。[…] 不要随波逐流，因为他们有可能做各种尝试。”<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>

与此同时，在熊市中，人们“过于悲观，他们对整件事太过于看衰”。该项科技并没有在牛市和熊市之间突然发生变化，它在任何一个市场中的作用都是一样的 — 这意味着用户对它的看法会变成负面的。<\/strong><\/p>

在熊市的建议是购买和建造，但也要“记住过你的生活，加密货币不是一切，”他说。<\/strong><\/p>

Voorhees 警告人们不要只见树木不见森林，并指出我们此时此刻所看到的是一场革命。他说，<\/strong><\/p>

“只是退后一步，为你所参与的事情感到自豪。没有任何成功的革命 [在]进行的期间 [是] 所有人都相信它会奏效的。你一直在不确定中前进，然后有一天你可能会醒来并意识到“哦，它有效，但我错过了这一切，因为我非常担心它没有发生”。认清它，你现在正处于革命的中间：北极熊的市场 – 你是在那中间。 […] 所以当你在这里时，不要在没有那种认知的情况下让它渡过。<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>

因此，在这两个市场中最基本的教训是透过检查自己对事物的看法并着眼于更大的愿景来保持中间状态，而不是走极端。<\/strong><\/p>

您可以在这里观看完整的采访：<\/strong><\/p>

<\/oembed><\/figure>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

下一个牛市可能会在今年到 2026 年之间的任何时候到来，加密货币资深人士 Erik Voorhees 表示，但那将需要宏观环境以及人们的思想发生一些变化才有可能。Voorhees 是加密货币交易所 ShapeShift 的创办人兼首席执行长，他是 1 月 2 日发布的 Bankless 播客节目的嘉宾。在回答关于我们何时才能看到另一场牛市和历史新高的问题时，Voorhees 开玩笑说不会是 10 年，并补充说他经常与他的 “crypto OG”朋友一起烧烤时聊到市场行情何时会转身 — 但他们总是错的。不过，他表示， “如果牛市需要 10 年才能发生，那么整件事情可能都已失败了。[…] 我猜它会在接下来 6 个月到 3 年内的某个时候发生。” Voorhees 建议，某些事情需要发生才能让牛市回归。 “人们的思想开始改变，以及投机周期的回归”也都需要一定的时间。这位首席执行长表示， “这也与宏观环境有很大的关系。因此，只要利率保持高位，货币环境收紧，就会成为不利因素。但是 […] 明年的年初到年中这段期间将会开始有所变化。所以，如果比特币在夏天之前达到 40K 左右，我一点也不会感到惊讶。那会比现在高出 2.5 倍，所以将会是一个很好的回报。” 牢记牛市和熊市的教训Voorhees 有一些关于牛市和熊市的教训和警告要分享 — 在每个周期中每次都会看到某些共同点。他说，这并不是加密货币所独有的，而是“当看涨情绪出现时，人们的怀疑和判断力就会降得太低”，他们愿意接受任何事情。那是一个“所有愚蠢想法都得到和好的想法一样多钱的时候，完全没有自由裁量权，每个人都在做赚钱的事情”。因此，Voorhees 警告说， “在牛市期间，记住要保持理智的意思就是 [问问] 自己这件事是否真的有用或者它只是愚蠢的。[…] 不要随波逐流，因为他们有可能做各种尝试。” 与此同时，在熊市中，人们“过于悲观，他们对整件事太过于看衰”。该项科技并没有在牛市和熊市之间突然发生变化，它在任何一个市场中的作用都是一样的 — 这意味着用户对它的看法会变成负面的。在熊市的建议是购买和建造，但也要“记住过你的生活，加密货币不是一切，”他说。Voorhees 警告人们不要只见树木不见森林，并指出我们此时此刻所看到的是一场革命。他说， “只是退后一步，为你所参与的事情感到自豪。没有任何成功的革命 [在]进行的期间 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,6],"tags":[],"editors":[],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-100093","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","category-bitcoin-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u6295\u8d44\u8005 Erik Voorhees \u8868\u793a\u5f53\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u53d1\u751f\u65f6\u3000\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b21\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u725b\u5e02\u5c06\u4f1a\u5f00\u59cb<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u725b\u5e02\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u5230 2026 \u5e74\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u65f6\u5019\u5230\u6765\uff0c\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u8d44\u6df1\u4eba\u58eb Erik Voorhees 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