{"id":157672,"date":"2026-03-23T19:19:31","date_gmt":"2026-03-23T19:19:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/noticias\/bitcoin-ouro-digital-vs-crise-de-ormuz-o-btc-esta-se-descorrelacionando\/"},"modified":"2026-03-23T19:19:31","modified_gmt":"2026-03-23T19:19:31","slug":"bitcoin-ouro-digital-vs-crise-de-ormuz-o-btc-esta-se-descorrelacionando","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/noticias\/bitcoin-ouro-digital-vs-crise-de-ormuz-o-btc-esta-se-descorrelacionando\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin \u2018ouro digital\u2019 vs. crise de Ormuz: O BTC est\u00e1 se descorrelacionando?"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"585\" src=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/23130939\/featured-image-135-1024x585.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-157669\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/23130939\/featured-image-135-1024x585.webp 1024w, https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/23130939\/featured-image-135-300x171.webp 300w, https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/23130939\/featured-image-135-768x439.webp 768w, https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/23130939\/featured-image-135-1536x878.webp 1536w, https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/23130939\/featured-image-135-450x257.webp 450w, https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/23130939\/featured-image-135.webp 1792w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"><\/figure><p>O Bitcoin est\u00e1 falhando em seu maior teste de porto seguro de 2026, \u00e0 medida que a crise no Estreito de Ormuz empurra o petr\u00f3leo para a casa dos 113 USD. Em vez de se descorrelacionar, o BTC apresenta uma perigosa correla\u00e7\u00e3o positiva de 0,68 com os pre\u00e7os do petr\u00f3leo bruto, sinalizando que o <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/news\/world-gold-council-framework-tokenized-gold-bitcoin-hyper\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ouro digital<\/a> est\u00e1 sendo negociado atualmente como um ativo de risco.<\/p><div class=\"su-note\" style=\"border: 1px solid #e0d5e5;border-radius: 5px;margin: 20px 0;background-color: #faefff;color: #333333;padding: 20px\"><strong>Principais conclus\u00f5es:<\/strong>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Pico de Correla\u00e7\u00e3o:<\/strong> O coeficiente de correla\u00e7\u00e3o Bitcoin-WTI atingiu 0,68, uma mudan\u00e7a dram\u00e1tica em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0s m\u00e9dias hist\u00f3ricas abaixo de 0,3.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Impacto do Petr\u00f3leo:<\/strong> O Goldman Sachs projeta que o petr\u00f3leo Brent ter\u00e1 uma m\u00e9dia de 110 USD at\u00e9 abril, caso o fluxo em Ormuz permane\u00e7a em 5% da capacidade.<\/li>\n<li><strong>N\u00edvel de BTC para Monitorar:<\/strong> Os touros devem defender a zona de suporte de 65.000 USD para evitar uma quebra t\u00e9cnica em dire\u00e7\u00e3o aos 58.000 USD.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A armadilha da correla\u00e7\u00e3o: Por que o petr\u00f3leo a 100 USD prejudica o Bitcoin desta vez<\/h2><span class=\"replacer\"><\/span><p>O <strong>Estreito de Ormuz<\/strong> est\u00e1 estrangulando 20% da oferta global de petr\u00f3leo, e o mercado cripto est\u00e1 reagindo com volatilidade em vez de valida\u00e7\u00e3o. Analistas do Goldman Sachs elevaram drasticamente as previs\u00f5es na segunda-feira, projetando que o Brent ter\u00e1 m\u00e9dia de 110 USD em mar\u00e7o e abril. Os futuros j\u00e1 reagiram, com o Brent atingindo 113,32 USD e o WTI subindo para 101,01 USD, acompanhando o ultimato do Presidente Trump a Teer\u00e3.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/p\/no_image.svg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-491214 lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/23112643\/image-196-1024x604.png\" data-srcset=\"\"><\/figure><p>Historicamente, esse caos geopol\u00edtico alimenta a tese do <strong>ouro digital<\/strong>. Mas os dados mostram uma mudan\u00e7a de regime. A <strong>correla\u00e7\u00e3o do Bitcoin<\/strong> com os pre\u00e7os do petr\u00f3leo subiu para 0,68. Por qu\u00ea? Porque o <strong>impacto do pre\u00e7o do petr\u00f3leo no mercado cripto<\/strong> agora \u00e9 transmitido por meio das expectativas de infla\u00e7\u00e3o. O petr\u00f3leo a 110 USD garante que a infla\u00e7\u00e3o permane\u00e7a persistente. Infla\u00e7\u00e3o persistente for\u00e7a o Federal Reserve a manter as taxas altas. Taxas altas drenam a liquidez global da qual o Bitcoin se alimenta.<\/p><p><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/news\/bitcoin-trails-money-supply-growth-energy-costs-rates\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">O Bitcoin acompanha o crescimento da oferta monet\u00e1ria<\/a> e enfrenta dificuldades quando os custos de energia disparam. A mec\u00e2nica \u00e9 brutal: o aumento dos custos de energia atua como um imposto sobre o consumidor e o minerador simultaneamente. Se o fluxo de Ormuz permanecer em 5% at\u00e9 10 de abril, cen\u00e1rio base do Goldman, estaremos diante de um ambiente estagflacion\u00e1rio que pune todos os ativos de risco, inclusive as criptomoedas.<\/p><p>O comportamento das negocia\u00e7\u00f5es diz tudo. O Bitcoin n\u00e3o est\u00e1 subindo por &#8220;medo de guerra&#8221;; est\u00e1 caindo por &#8220;medo de liquidez&#8221;. At\u00e9 que a correla\u00e7\u00e3o se quebre ou o petr\u00f3leo se estabilize, o potencial de alta acima de 70.000 USD est\u00e1 limitado por ventos contr\u00e1rios macroecon\u00f4micos.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">As baleias conseguem absorver o choque de risco macro?<\/h2><span class=\"replacer\"><\/span><p>Enquanto o mercado de derivativos entra em p\u00e2nico, os fluxos on-chain sugerem uma diverg\u00eancia de convic\u00e7\u00e3o. O sentimento do varejo est\u00e1 fragmentado, mas carteiras de baleias que det\u00eam entre 1.000 e 10.000 BTC continuam a acumular na faixa de 65.000 USD a 70.000 USD.<\/p><p>Isso implica que o dinheiro institucional (smart money) v\u00ea o <strong>risco macro<\/strong> como tempor\u00e1rio ou espera uma resposta de pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria, como uma inje\u00e7\u00e3o massiva de liquidez, para combater o choque do petr\u00f3leo.<\/p><div class=\"cpp-crypto-chart cpp-crypto-chart-btc\" data-coin-symbol=\"btc\" data-price-usd=\"BTC Price (USD)\" data-main-color=\"#007bff\" data-watermark-image=\"\" data-chart-style=\"cryptonews\"><div class=\"cpp-chart-header-wrapper\"><div class=\"cpp-chart-header\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"cpp-chart-header-logo lazyload\" src=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/p\/no_image.svg\" alt=\"btc logo\" data-src=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/26205235\/btc.svg\" data-srcset=\"\"><div class=\"cpp-chart-coin-info\"><div class=\"cpp-chart-coin-name\">Bitcoin (BTC)<\/div><div class=\"cpp-chart-price-row\"><span class=\"cpp-chart-price\"><\/span><span class=\"cpp-chart-change\"><\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"cpp-chart-selectors\"><span class=\"cpp-chart-selector\" data-period=\"24h\">24h<\/span><span class=\"cpp-chart-selector\" data-period=\"7d\">7d<\/span><span class=\"cpp-chart-selector\" data-period=\"30d\">30d<\/span><span class=\"cpp-chart-selector\" data-period=\"1y\">1y<\/span><span class=\"cpp-chart-selector\" data-period=\"all_time\">All time<\/span><\/div><\/div><canvas id=\"cpp-chart-6a1ff2652e6bb\" class=\"cpp-chart-container\"><\/canvas><\/div><p>O recente registro de ETF do Morgan Stanley refor\u00e7a esse suporte institucional. A infraestrutura est\u00e1 sendo constru\u00edda independentemente de onde o petr\u00f3leo bruto for negociado na pr\u00f3xima semana. No entanto, o pre\u00e7o respeita n\u00edveis, n\u00e3o narrativas. A correla\u00e7\u00e3o de 0,68 significa que o Bitcoin est\u00e1 vulner\u00e1vel a qualquer nova escalada no Oriente M\u00e9dio.<\/p><p>O n\u00edvel de invalida\u00e7\u00e3o para o cen\u00e1rio de baixa \u00e9 claro. Se o Bitcoin conseguir recuperar os 72.000 USD enquanto o petr\u00f3leo permanecer acima de 100 USD, a tese de descorrela\u00e7\u00e3o volta ao jogo. At\u00e9 l\u00e1, voc\u00ea est\u00e1 negociando um ativo de risco atrelado aos mercados de energia.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin vs. Crise de Ormuz: Ouro digital ou ativo de risco?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":780,"featured_media":157669,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[103],"editores":[534],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-157672","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin","editores-cryptonews"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin \u2018ouro digital\u2019 vs. crise de Ormuz: O BTC est\u00e1 se descorrelacionando?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin vs. Crise de Ormuz: Ouro digital ou ativo de risco?\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/noticias\/bitcoin-ouro-digital-vs-crise-de-ormuz-o-btc-esta-se-descorrelacionando\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin \u2018ouro digital\u2019 vs. crise de Ormuz: O BTC est\u00e1 se descorrelacionando?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bitcoin vs. Crise de Ormuz: Ouro digital ou ativo de risco?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/noticias\/bitcoin-ouro-digital-vs-crise-de-ormuz-o-btc-esta-se-descorrelacionando\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CryptoNews Brasil\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-03-23T19:19:31+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/23130939\/featured-image-135.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1792\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1024\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/23130939\/featured-image-135.webp\" \/>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Bitcoin \u2018ouro digital\u2019 vs. crise de Ormuz: O BTC est\u00e1 se descorrelacionando?","description":"Bitcoin vs. Crise de Ormuz: Ouro digital ou ativo de risco?","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/noticias\/bitcoin-ouro-digital-vs-crise-de-ormuz-o-btc-esta-se-descorrelacionando\/","og_locale":"pt_BR","og_type":"article","og_title":"Bitcoin \u2018ouro digital\u2019 vs. crise de Ormuz: O BTC est\u00e1 se descorrelacionando?","og_description":"Bitcoin vs. Crise de Ormuz: Ouro digital ou ativo de risco?","og_url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/noticias\/bitcoin-ouro-digital-vs-crise-de-ormuz-o-btc-esta-se-descorrelacionando\/","og_site_name":"CryptoNews Brasil","article_published_time":"2026-03-23T19:19:31+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1792,"height":1024,"url":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/23130939\/featured-image-135.webp","type":"image\/webp"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_image":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/23130939\/featured-image-135.webp","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/noticias\/bitcoin-ouro-digital-vs-crise-de-ormuz-o-btc-esta-se-descorrelacionando\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/noticias\/bitcoin-ouro-digital-vs-crise-de-ormuz-o-btc-esta-se-descorrelacionando\/"},"author":{"name":"Cristhian Silva","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/#\/schema\/person\/afd4a756a2cb859d32a55ff768b0acaa"},"headline":"Bitcoin \u2018ouro digital\u2019 vs. crise de Ormuz: O BTC est\u00e1 se descorrelacionando?","datePublished":"2026-03-23T19:19:31+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/noticias\/bitcoin-ouro-digital-vs-crise-de-ormuz-o-btc-esta-se-descorrelacionando\/"},"wordCount":680,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/noticias\/bitcoin-ouro-digital-vs-crise-de-ormuz-o-btc-esta-se-descorrelacionando\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/23130939\/featured-image-135.webp","keywords":["Bitcoin"],"articleSection":["Not\u00edcias de Bitcoin"],"inLanguage":"pt-BR","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/noticias\/bitcoin-ouro-digital-vs-crise-de-ormuz-o-btc-esta-se-descorrelacionando\/#respond"]}],"copyrightYear":"2026","copyrightHolder":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/#organization"}},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/noticias\/bitcoin-ouro-digital-vs-crise-de-ormuz-o-btc-esta-se-descorrelacionando\/","url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/noticias\/bitcoin-ouro-digital-vs-crise-de-ormuz-o-btc-esta-se-descorrelacionando\/","name":"Bitcoin \u2018ouro digital\u2019 vs. crise de Ormuz: O BTC est\u00e1 se descorrelacionando?","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/noticias\/bitcoin-ouro-digital-vs-crise-de-ormuz-o-btc-esta-se-descorrelacionando\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/noticias\/bitcoin-ouro-digital-vs-crise-de-ormuz-o-btc-esta-se-descorrelacionando\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/23130939\/featured-image-135.webp","datePublished":"2026-03-23T19:19:31+00:00","description":"Bitcoin vs. Crise de Ormuz: Ouro digital ou ativo de risco?","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/noticias\/bitcoin-ouro-digital-vs-crise-de-ormuz-o-btc-esta-se-descorrelacionando\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"pt-BR","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/noticias\/bitcoin-ouro-digital-vs-crise-de-ormuz-o-btc-esta-se-descorrelacionando\/"]}],"author":[]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"pt-BR","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/noticias\/bitcoin-ouro-digital-vs-crise-de-ormuz-o-btc-esta-se-descorrelacionando\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/23130939\/featured-image-135.webp","contentUrl":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/23130939\/featured-image-135.webp","width":1792,"height":1024},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/noticias\/bitcoin-ouro-digital-vs-crise-de-ormuz-o-btc-esta-se-descorrelacionando\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Bitcoin \u2018ouro digital\u2019 vs. crise de Ormuz: O BTC est\u00e1 se descorrelacionando?"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/#website","url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/","name":"Cryptonews Portugal","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"pt-BR"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/#organization","name":"Cryptonews Portugal","url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"pt-BR","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2023\/09\/4.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/13\/2023\/09\/4.jpg","width":1669,"height":874,"caption":"Cryptonews Portugal"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"}}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/157672","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/780"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=157672"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/157672\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":157698,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/157672\/revisions\/157698"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/157669"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=157672"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=157672"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=157672"},{"taxonomy":"editores","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/editores?post=157672"},{"taxonomy":"sponsored_companies","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/br\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/sponsored_companies?post=157672"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}